Let’s reflect on the performance of the local Silicon Valley housing market for both January and February. Below you will find the statistics for the cities of Cupertino, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Mountain View, Palo Alto, Santa Clara, Saratoga, and Sunnyvale for each of these months, comparing the average sales price and number of closed sales of single family homes for each of these communities. Overall, what I have personally seen is plenty of eager buyers competing over a very low inventory, particular in areas like Los Altos and Palo Alto–which makes for a very hot market with multiple offer situations all around!

Here are the January stats:

Silicon Valley real estate statistics for January 2012. Information contained in this graphic is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

And here are the February stats:

Silicon Valley real estate statistics for February 2012. Information contained in this graphic is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

As always, if you would like an update on the market for an area not listed above or a detailed market analysis for your home, get in touch with me.

With distressed properties, including foreclosures (or REOs) and short sales, making up about half of all single-family home sales in California in January, according to the California Association of Realtors®, many underwater sellers will face the tough decision between a foreclosure or a short sale.

Some of the most important factors to consider before making the decision include deficiency judgments, tax implications, credit consequences and timing.

Deficiency Judgements and Tax Implications

The good news is that California offers some protections for consumers against deficiency judgments after short sales and foreclosures. A homeowner is generally protected against a deficiency judgment after short sale for a one-to-four residential unit property. The instances in which a homeowner is generally protected against a deficiency judgment following foreclosure include, among other things, a non-judicial foreclosure or a loan that is all of the following: 1) owner-occupied, 2) secured by a one-to-four unit dwelling and 3) purchase money. Homeowners are also protected against deficiency judgments after foreclosure of seller financing.

Sellers may be responsible for taxes on, among other things, cancellation of debt (COD) income, which is approximately the difference between the outstanding loan balance and the fair market value. The exceptions to being taxed on COD income include bankruptcy, insolvency and forgiveness of a nonrecourse debt after foreclosure.

Nonrecourse debt in California is when a loan is made to purchase a one-to-four unit, owner-occupied property or when the seller carries back financing. In the case of a short sale or foreclosure, the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007 also provides an exception from federal taxation when the following conditions are met: 1) property must be a qualified principal residence as defined, 2) loan is secured by the residence, 3) income relief is capped at $1,000,000 for married couples filing separately and $2,000,000 for all others, and 4) loan is discharged after January 1, 2007 and before January 1, 2013. Additional rules apply under California law.

Credit Consequences and Timing

Credit may be adversely affected regardless of the type of sale—foreclosure or short sale. Credit score declines can vary and the negative mark may remain on the credit report for seven years. Both foreclosures and short sales might affect the ability to quality for a loan to purchase another home. In some short sale cases where the seller may have even been current with mortgage payments but sold the home for less than the outstanding loan amount, the credit report could indicate that the debt was settled for less than what was owed and the impact may be less severe.

In the event of a foreclosure, a borrower may not be able to qualify for another home loan for seven years without any extenuating circumstances, or five years with extenuating circumstances, under current Fannie Mae guidelines. The wait may be less with short sales. If payments are in arrears in a short sale, buyers may qualify to purchase another home within about two years for a Fannie Mae backed mortgage, or approximately three years for a FHA loan. If payments were current, consumers may qualify for another loan immediately, but it can be difficult to find a lender.

Exceptions and additional considerations apply to the conditions discussed, depending on individual circumstances. For consumers facing these difficult choices, it is advisable to seek professional assistance from an attorney and/or an accountant who can evaluate your specific situation.

Note: This information is believed accurate as of February 2012. It is intended to provide general answers to general questions and is not intended as a substitute for individual legal advice. Advice in specific situations may differ depending upon a wide variety of factors. Therefore, readers with specific legal questions should seek the advice of an attorney.

Last week, Intero President & CEO Gino Blefari posted his outlook on the housing market, telling us why things are looking positive for 2012. Read on for Gino’s thoughts on the housing recovery:

Pending home sales reached their highest level in January in nearly two years, according to NAR’s report this week, rounding out a handful of positive news for housing markets in the last week or two.

Pending sales trending upward is an interesting trend to watch considering the recent rise in cancelled contracts. I say this because pending sales at least gives us an indicator of buyer sentiment since many of the failed contracts seem to be due to things that are out of buyers’ control like not securing financing needed to purchase the home or the appraisal coming in below the contract price. With a rise in pending sales, we at least know that buyer intent is on the rise and more folks are trying to buy homes.

NAR’s pending home sales index was up 2% to 97 in January from 95 in December, and is 8% higher than January 2011. The January index is the highest since April 2010, when it reached 111.3 as buyers were in a mad dash to take advantage of the home buyer tax credit.

Other positive happenings for housing:

Improving job market: In January, unemployment hit its lowest level in three years, continuing a five-month streak of improvement. Without jobs, people don’t buy or move so this obviously is a good thing.

Home builders are gaining confidence: Home builder sentiment, tracked by the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo, in February reached its highest level in nearly five years. This basically means that home builders are more confident that market conditions are improving to the point that new home sales will be positively impacted.

Housing stocks are up: The stock market is a far-from-perfect indicator, but it at least gives a reading of how investors are feeling. The nation’s home builder companies have seen share prices increase 60% since October, according to an analysis on Time’s website.

In the Bay Area, we have all the amazing economic trickledown activity from major tech company IPOs – recently game developer Zynga and Facebook’s pending IPO in May – to look forward to in housing. In fact, some of our local markets such as San Francisco have already seen the positive housing news that comes along with that.

Overall, 2012 is looking to be a great year for housing compared to the last five or six. The presidential election likely will also ward off any major controversial policies that could negatively impact the market. With all this in mind, I think we’re looking at our big comeback year. It will be particularly good for certain segments of our local markets and marginally improved at the national level. Not a boom by any means, but we’ll take it!

You can read Gino’s original post by clicking here.

A few weeks, Intero CEO Gino Blefari posted an article on the Intero Insider blog entitled “Need directions? Ask a Realtor.” In this post, Gino describes the vast knowledge many Realtors have to share regarding the local communities we serve. He goes on to say:

I’m always amazed at the amount of local community knowledge a typical Realtor has. If you need to know about the local preschool situation, where to get the best cup of coffee within earshot of a specific address, where to get free Internet while you enjoy a hot beverage or quick lunch, and where the best morning bun in town is served, ask a Realtor. Seriously.

But many times you wouldn’t know this as a home buyer or seller while out shopping for a Realtor. It seems that

many agents’ marketing materials don’t seem to get this point across – that not only is this agent a master at closing sales in a particular neighborhood or area, he’s also an expert at all things local. He knows the right plumbers, contractors, inspectors, landscapers, cleaning services, florists, and interior decorators. You name it.

I think it’s time agents get the recognition they deserve as neighborhood connoisseurs, specialists, experts. Sure, you want an agent with an impeccable track record of selling houses in your area or area of interest. You want a master negotiator, a well respected and well connected professional. But you also want someone who’s going to be able to either tell you exactly what it’s like to live somewhere, how close life’s essentials are, and so forth or connect you directly with the people who can answer those questions.

I personally couldn’t agree more with Gino’s emphasis on the importance of being able to share this local expertise with clients. Whether it’s regarding the local schools, finding a reliable contractor, or getting recommendations on the best restaurants in town, I pride myself in being able to assist my clients, friends, and neighbors with all of these things. Now, I’ve partnered with AmericanTowns (a wonderful site to find and share local events, things to do, and more), serving as their Los Altos Real Estate Expert and contributing to the Los Altos Answer Book. Through the Answer Book, I will be sharing my knowledge about our community with interested folks across the globe, covering various topics concerning our community and the resources, businesses, programs, and people that make it unique.

Well, December (and 2011 as a whole) has come to close and we are already heading into the second month of 2012 in just one more day. 2012 has proven to be quite a busy year thus far–in spite of low inventory across the board, I’ve got plenty of eager buyers. But before we move any further into the new year, I thought it would be best to take a look at the local real estate statistics for last month (December 2o11) and for the year overall.

As you can see in the graph below, I’ve compiled the data on the median sale price and number of closed sales for single family homes in the communities of Cupertino, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Mountain View, Palo Alto, Santa Clara, Saratoga, and Sunnyvale for December 2011.

Silicon Valley real estate statistics for December 2011. Information contained in this graphic is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

In terms of looking at how we fared in all of 2011, I have compiled the average sales and closed sales volume for both single family homes and townhomes/condominiums in Cupertino, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Mountain View, Palo Alto, Santa Clara, Saratoga, and Sunnyvale. For reference, I have also included the equivalent data from 2010.

A comparison of the average sales price and close sales volume (in dollars) in 2010 and 2011 for select Silicon Valley cities. Information contained in this graphic is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

As always, if you would like an update on the market for an area not listed above or a detailed market analysis for your home, get in touch with me.

With 2011 coming to a close very soon, let’s take this time to reflect on the performance of the local Silicon Valley market for both October and November. Below you will find the statistics for the cities of Cupertino, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills, Mountain View, Palo Alto, Santa Clara, Saratoga, and Sunnyvale for each of these months, comparing the median sales price and number of closed sales of single family homes for each of these communities. 

October 2011 Statistics - Click to Enlarge

Silicon Valley real estate statistics for October 2011. Information contained in this graphic is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

November 2011 Statistics - Click to Enlarge

Silicon Valley real estate statistics for November 2011. Information contained in this graphic is deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

As always, if you would like an update on the market for an area not listed above or a detailed market analysis for your home, get in touch with me.

Happy Halloween, readers! With All Hallow’s Eve approaching this Monday, there are plenty of spooktacular events to partake in throughout the Bay Area. Take a look at this week’s edition of the Intero Weekender below for details of what’s going on.

Also, don’t forget about the Intero Foundation’s Free eWaste Recycling Day this Saturday, October 29, 2011 from 9am to 3pm at our office on 496 First Street in Los Altos. Click here for a complete list of items that can be recycled at the event. All proceeds raised from the recycling benefit the work of the Intero Foundation in our local community.

This week, Intero President & CEO Gino Blefari offers his analysis of the changes coming to President Obama’s Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). Here’s what he had to say:

The buzz in housing economics this week is all about Obama’s revamped home-loan refinancing program and the hope that it will help hundreds of thousands of underwater homeowners. The new program makes significant changes to the original HARP program – viewed as a total failure by most critics because it was supposed to help “millions” of borrowers, but only helped 894,000 to date.

HARP stands for the Home Affordable Refinance Program. It was rolled out in 2009 to help borrowers who owed more on their homes than their current value, enabling them to refinance and take advantage of lower interest rates, which would lower their housing costs and ease their financial burden.

First, let’s look at the changes:

  • Some fees will be reduced or eliminated
  • No more 125% loan-to-value ratio cap
  • Streamlines refinancing process by eliminating appraisals and extensive underwriting requirements for most borrowers, as long as they are current on their mortgage payments
  • Encourages shorting the mortgage term
  • Program now extended to December 31, 2013

What hasn’t changed:

  • The program is only open to borrowers whose mortgages are owned by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
  • Borrowers must be current on their mortgage payments to be eligible. (So this program really is not for homeowners facing foreclosure, but rather aims to stop people from walking away from their underwater mortgages.)

Why refinancing?

Officials estimate that changes to the program will save the average eligible family about $2,500 every year – the equivalent of a substantial tax cut. They anticipate the number of people enrolled will double as a result of the revamp.

A lot of folks have criticized the administration’s refinance efforts through HARP because the number of borrowers it has helped pales in comparison to those in need. Five million homes have been lost to foreclosure and another 3.5 million foreclosures are anticipated over the next two years, according to Moody’s analyst Mark Zandi. And analysts peg the number of homeowners who owe more on their mortgages than the current market value at 15 million.

The reality, though, is that there’s only so much the government can do to help the underwater situation without completely devaluing the mortgage securities market. A mortgage is a contract by which a borrower agrees to pay under specific terms. The government can’t just rewrite all these contracts. This is why you see efforts that are met with little fanfare. But we have to remember that one program isn’t going to completely fix all of housing’s problems.

Will these changes make a difference? I say every home saved from foreclosure – whether it’s an owner walking away or an owner who can’t pay his mortgage anymore – will make a small difference in some way. That’s one less foreclosure on the books and one more family that stays in their home, and there’s something to be said for that.

If you’re looking for something fun to do over what looks to be a nice, warm–albeit cooler than it was earlier this week–weekend, check out the Intero Weekender below! There’s plenty going on throughout the South Bay and Peninsula, including Oktoberfest celebrations in both Campbell and Redwood City!

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